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2024-12-14 00:07:20

Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting, it released chaotic signals. Japanese traders were confused about when to raise interest rates. After the Bank of Japan officials' remarks and media reports sent different signals, traders have been confused about when the central bank might raise interest rates in the past week. This kind of confusion led to sharp fluctuations in the market's interest rate hike bets. The overnight index swap pricing showed that the probability of raising interest rates in December was 22%, which was significantly lower than 60% at the beginning of last week. This week, the yen fell from 150 last Friday to a low of 152.18 to the dollar, and the exchange rate was 151.73 at 10:40 Tokyo time. Kazuo Ueda, governor of the Bank of Japan, said in an interview last month that the interest rate hike was approaching. A few days later, a report by the news agency emphasized the concern of the central bank about raising interest rates prematurely. Tomaki Nakamura, a member of the Dove Policy Committee, said last week that he was not opposed to raising interest rates, but this month's policy decision must consider data factors.It is reported that the Bank of Japan believes that the cost of waiting for the next rate hike is not great, and the short-term earthquake of the yen market is reported. It is reported that the Bank of Japan believes that the cost of waiting for the next rate hike is not great. Some policy makers are not opposed to raising interest rates in December if it is proposed. It is said that officials believe that the next rate hike is only a matter of time, not whether to raise interest rates. In addition, they believe that there is little risk that the depreciation of the yen will push up inflationary pressure at this stage. The yen then fluctuated greatly. USD/JPY once fell to a low of 150.99, then rose by about 100 points, and now it is back to around 152. Judging from the current situation, traders expect the probability that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates by 25 basis points next week to be around 26%.Vietnam Customs: The export volume of rice in November was 704,608 tons.


According to the survey of Monetary Authority of Singapore, 33% people expect that the slope of Singapore's exchange rate will be lowered in the January monetary policy evaluation (previously 50%).Head of South Korea's senior public official crime investigation department: If the conditions are met, it will seek to arrest Yin Xiyue. The head of South Korea's senior public official crime investigation department said that if the conditions are met, the team will seek to arrest President Yin Xiyue or seek to issue an arrest warrant for him. On Wednesday, when answering questions raised by opposition lawmakers at the National Assembly meeting, Oh Dong-woon indicated that he had the intention to arrest Yin Xiyue.ExxonMobil: It is estimated that the profit growth potential will reach $20 billion and the cash flow growth potential will reach $30 billion.


Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting, it released chaotic signals. Japanese traders were confused about when to raise interest rates. After the Bank of Japan officials' remarks and media reports sent different signals, traders have been confused about when the central bank might raise interest rates in the past week. This kind of confusion led to sharp fluctuations in the market's interest rate hike bets. The overnight index swap pricing showed that the probability of raising interest rates in December was 22%, which was significantly lower than 60% at the beginning of last week. This week, the yen fell from 150 last Friday to a low of 152.18 to the dollar, and the exchange rate was 151.73 at 10:40 Tokyo time. Kazuo Ueda, governor of the Bank of Japan, said in an interview last month that the interest rate hike was approaching. A few days later, a report by the news agency emphasized the concern of the central bank about raising interest rates prematurely. Tomaki Nakamura, a member of the Dove Policy Committee, said last week that he was not opposed to raising interest rates, but this month's policy decision must consider data factors.On December 10th, local time, US Secretary of State Blinken talked with Egyptian Foreign Minister Abdul Ati, Qatari Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammed, UAE Foreign Minister Abdullah and Jordanian Foreign Minister Assafadi respectively, focusing on the situation in Syria. In addition, Blinken and other leaders also discussed the implementation of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon.Private placement: Positive factors in the stock market are accumulating. Recently, A-shares have fluctuated, and the latest strategies of many first-line private placements for investment at the end of the year and the beginning of the year have been released one after another. A number of private placements are optimistic about the market at the end of the year. Kou Zhiwei, a partner of chongyang investment, said that the "strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" proposed by the policy at the end of the year inspired market confidence. At present, compared with the end of September, the market has a large increase, and the market has fully expected and priced the policy overweight. The further rise of the short-term market may need the support of strong economic recovery data. Judging from the recent overall investment trends of private placement, the reporter found that maintaining medium and high positions and maintaining high flexibility of portfolios have become the strategic focus of current private placement institutions. (CSI)

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